fivethirtyeight.com - 10/22/2008
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After some incremental improvements by John McCain over the course of the past week, we are now looking once again a handful of polls showing Barack Obama with a double-digit lead -- most dramatically his 14-point advantage in the latest Pew poll . Obama also gained ground in the aggregate of ...
breitbart.com - 10/22/2008
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breitbart.com —
WASHINGTON (AP) - The presidential race tightened after
the final debate, with John McCain gaining among whites...
and people earning less than $50,000, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that shows McCain and Barack Obama essentially running even ...
(more)
AP presidential poll: All even in the homestretch
blogs.tnr.com - 10/22/2008
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blogs.tnr.com —
At our election discussion last week at the
Sixth and I Synagogue, Frank asked if anyone thought Obama...
could lose barring some catastrophic external event. I happen to think Obama's chances of winning are upward of 80 ...
(more)
How Obama Could Still Lose
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The Tightening?
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
Nate Silver parses the day's polls: What we may have witnessed is some sort of dead cat bounce for John McCain. One possibility is that, as more voters are taking advantage of early voting windows across the country, the pollsters are finding that some voters whom they considered "unlikely" voters have in fact turned out to vote. Zogby gives Obama a 21-point lead nationwide among people who have already voted, and SurveyUSA and Civitas peg his advantage among early voters in North Carolina at around 20 and 30 points, respectively. ...
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fivethirtyeight.com 10/29/2008 — Stop me if you've heard this one before. Although the national trackers look slightly stronger for John McCain than they did a couple days ago, Barack Obama once again had an exceptionally good day in the state-level numbers. To review the national ...
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fivethirtyeight.com 10/17/2008 — With seven different daily tracking polls to work with -- one of which releases three separate versions of its model each day -- there is a lot to choose from for those who might seek to cherry-pick results. Slow news day, Matt? If this is a ...
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fivethirtyeight.com 10/18/2008 — John McCain has once again improved his position in the national tracking polls, having gained ground in 4 of the 5 6 trackers that published today ( Rasmussen and IBD/TIPP were the exceptions).** Our model now perceives that Obama has come somewhat ...
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fivethirtyeight.com 10/26/2008 — With fewer than ten days to go until the election, John McCain is another day older and deeper in the polls.: It is hard to find any trend at all at the national level, although Barack Obama's position improved has incrementally in a couple of the ...
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fivethirtyeight.com 10/22/2008 — It's been a confusing day of polling -- one of those where I'm happy to have a computer handy to do my dirty work for me. The trend over the past 7-10 days remains slightly toward McCain. It is difficult to pinpoint, however, just where the movement ...
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McCain vs. Obama: A double-digit lead —
First Read 10/22/2008
The Wall Street Journal on the new NBC/WSJ poll: “Sen. Barack Obama has opened up a double-digit lead in the presidential race, with a growing number of voters saying they're now comfortable with the Democratic nominee's values, background and ...
McCain: Still mentioning Joe the Plumber —
First Read 10/22/2008
The McCain campaign has unveiled a new TV ad -- their first new one in about a week, we believe -- that invokes “Joe the Plumber” and hits Obama on taxes.
For the first six weeks of the general election, it seemed as if a half-day didn't go by ...
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