fivethirtyeight.com - 10/27/2008
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While there are a few surprises here and there, once again the theme of today's polls is stability in the race for the White House. John McCain narrowed his gap significantly in today's Zogby tracking poll, drawing from 9.5 points behind to 5.3. As you probably know, I have a signifiacnt ...
swamppolitics.com - 10/25/2008
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swamppolitics.com —
by Mark Silva "I'm gonna test them.' Republican
John McCain said at a campaign rally in New...
Mexico this morning. "They're not gonna test me.'' The comment followed McCain's warning that Democratic rival Barack Obama's camaign has ...
(more)
John McCain: 'I'm gonna test them'
strata-sphere.com - 10/27/2008
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strata-sphere.com —
I have been noting that national polls and
some state polls may be way off based on...
optimistic voter turnout models which are historically nonsense (see posts here and here). One of the first indicators of whether Obama really is enjoying some massive ...
(more)
3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
talkingpointsmemo.com - 10/26/2008
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talkingpointsmemo.com —
It is time for the McCain campaign to
come clean about what role any of its staffers...
may have had in hyping or pushing the press to hype the charges stemming from Ashley Todd's vicious and reprehensible hoax. As Greg Sargent reported yesterday, ...
(more)
Time for Answers
Comments
Blog Reactions
With the race supposedly tightening, McCain guarantees victory
The Reaction —
... Indeed, as Nate Silver notes today, though "the balance of today's national polls contain better news for McCain, the balance of the state polls show Obama continuing to perform very well in several swing states." Consider: ...
McCain Sends Out Team Blather To Change The Subject…Again
Firedoglake —
... to the hair plugs of a sitting Senator? This is what passes for a rebuttal in political discourse these days: "I'm rubber, and you're glue." Not that this is a new tack for Wilson, but still....THIS is the best the GOP could do for defending McCain/Palin? Was every other GOP woman on the planet avoiding linkage to McCain like the plague busy?
Somewhere in heaven, Barbara Jordan just had one helluva belly laugh.
Feel the McMentum.
(YouTube -- Heather Wilson/CNN.)
With the Race Supposedly Tightening, McCain Guarantees Victory
The Moderate Voice —
... Indeed, as Nate Silver noted yesterday, though “the balance of today’s national polls contain better news for McCain, the balance of the state polls show Obama continuing to perform very well in several swing states.” Consider: ...
Daniel Sinker: Why 2008 is not 2004 redux: Remember the Bush/Kerry matchup? Kerry was polling strongly, right? Think again.
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com —
... 2008 is a different story. In the most recent data available (10/26) Obama leads in every single national poll. His average? Of the seven polls released, he averages a margin of victory of 7%, more than three times what Bush was averaging in 2004. That's an entirely different ballgame. ...
Obama in Arizona: A sign of good things to come?
The Reaction —
... for Arizona is McCain +5.2, but Obama has significantly narrowed the gap. Polls have had McCain up by over 20 points throughout the course of the year. And as Silver noted the other day, Obama's chances in New Mexico look better because of this. ...
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Today's Polls, 10/31
fivethirtyeight.com 11/1/2008 — Is Pennsylvania John McCain's last, best hope? Perhaps it is. But that speaks as much to McCain's problems elsewhere on the map as any success he has had in the Keystone State. Pennsylvania does seem to be narrowing a bit: the Muhlenberg / Morning ...
Today's Polls, 10/29
fivethirtyeight.com 10/30/2008 — We're getting to you a little bit late tonight, so let's keep this short and to the point... With no fewer than 45 polls released since our last update, covering essentially all of the major swing states, we have a pretty good idea of where this ...
Today's Polls, 10/27
fivethirtyeight.com 10/28/2008 — John McCain is making no progress in his pursuit of the White House. Our model now projects Barack Obama to win 351 electoral votes to John McCain's 187, and to win the Electoral College 96.7 percent of the time to McCain's 3.3 percent. Both numbers ...
Today's Polls, 10/28
fivethirtyeight.com 10/29/2008 — Stop me if you've heard this one before. Although the national trackers look slightly stronger for John McCain than they did a couple days ago, Barack Obama once again had an exceptionally good day in the state-level numbers. To review the national ...
Today's Polls, 10/14
fivethirtyeight.com 10/15/2008 — Perhaps the CBS poll that shows Barack Obama with a 14-point lead among likely voters (12 points when third-party candidates are included) is a modest outlier. But if so, John McCain has more and more outliers that he has to explain away these days. ...
Today's Polls, 10/20
fivethirtyeight.com 10/22/2008 — It's been a confusing day of polling -- one of those where I'm happy to have a computer handy to do my dirty work for me. The trend over the past 7-10 days remains slightly toward McCain. It is difficult to pinpoint, however, just where the movement ...
Today's Polls, 10/19
fivethirtyeight.com 10/20/2008 — Well, scratch West Virginia from the swing state list for the time being. Both Public Policy Polling and Mason-Dixon have new polling out in the state, and they give John McCain leads of 8 and 6 points respectively. It's possible that this is one of ...
Today's Polls, 10/25
fivethirtyeight.com 10/26/2008 — With fewer than ten days to go until the election, John McCain is another day older and deeper in the polls.: It is hard to find any trend at all at the national level, although Barack Obama's position improved has incrementally in a couple of the ...
Today's Polls, 10/18
fivethirtyeight.com 10/18/2008 — John McCain has once again improved his position in the national tracking polls, having gained ground in 4 of the 5 6 trackers that published today ( Rasmussen and IBD/TIPP were the exceptions).** Our model now perceives that Obama has come somewhat ...
Today's Polls, 10/16
fivethirtyeight.com 10/17/2008 — With seven different daily tracking polls to work with -- one of which releases three separate versions of its model each day -- there is a lot to choose from for those who might seek to cherry-pick results. Slow news day, Matt? If this is a ...
Candidates spar with 9 days to go
(AP) —
Yahoo! News: Politics News 10/27/2008
AP - Republican John McCain declared "I'm going to win it," dismissing polls showing him behind with little more than a week to go in the presidential race. A confident Democrat Barack Obama drew a jaw-dropping 100,000 people to a single rally and ...
Candidates Spar With 9 Days to Go —
FOXNews.com 10/27/2008
McCain dismisses polls, says he will win the race for the White House, while a confident Obama rolls out a new TV ad asserting his rival is 'running out of time'
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