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Today's Polls, 10/30
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/1/2008
Today's Polls, 10/30
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Man, I thought I trained you guys better than this. There is a lot of consternation in my e-mail box about two polls. One, from Mason-Dixon , shows John McCain just 4 points down in Pennsylvania. The other, from FOX News , shows McCain down just 3 points nationwide. Let's start with the ...
The Big Empty
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/31/2008
The Big Empty
— fivethirtyeight.com — As the only reporter during this election who has actually visited upwards of 50 of John McCain's field offices around the country (13 battleground states and counting), this piece by Matthew Mosk at the Washington Post comes as no surprise: The ... (more) The Big Empty

Comments vote down INSTAPUTZ found this 10/31/2008found this
Today's Polls, 11/1
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/2/2008
Today's Polls, 11/1
— fivethirtyeight.com — This is beginning to look like a five-state election. Those states are Virginia, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Nevada. Essentially all relevant electoral scenarios involve some combination of these five states. I should caution that by far the most ... (more) Today's Polls, 11/1

Comments vote down The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan found this 11/2/2008found this
Today's Polls, 3 AM Edition (11/3)
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/3/2008
Today's Polls, 3 AM Edition (11/3)
— fivethirtyeight.com — Barack Obama's position has become somewhat stronger since our update this afternoon. We now have him with a 5.8 point lead in the national popular vote, and winning the election 96.3 percent of the time. Earlier today, those figures were 5.4 and ... (more) Today's Polls, 3 AM Edition (11/3)

Comments vote down Firedoglake found this 11/3/2008found this

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No More Mister Nice Blog

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No More Mister Nice Blog — ... about recent Fox poll results. But I take Nate Silver's point that it's perfectly valid to survey a genuinely random sample rather than weight by party affiliation, though the poll reader should know the possible effect of this. I stand by my suspicion that Karl Rove knew those numbers in advance and tailored his Wall Street Journal column to fit them.) ...

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fivethirtyeight.com 10/18/2008 — John McCain has once again improved his position in the national tracking polls, having gained ground in 4 of the 5 6 trackers that published today ( Rasmussen and IBD/TIPP were the exceptions).** Our model now perceives that Obama has come somewhat ...
Today's Polls, 10/26
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Today's Polls, 10/31
fivethirtyeight.com 11/1/2008 — Is Pennsylvania John McCain's last, best hope? Perhaps it is. But that speaks as much to McCain's problems elsewhere on the map as any success he has had in the Keystone State. Pennsylvania does seem to be narrowing a bit: the Muhlenberg / Morning ...
Today's Polls, 10/19
fivethirtyeight.com 10/20/2008 — Well, scratch West Virginia from the swing state list for the time being. Both Public Policy Polling and Mason-Dixon have new polling out in the state, and they give John McCain leads of 8 and 6 points respectively. It's possible that this is one of ...
Today's Polls, 10/28
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Today's Polls, 10/14
fivethirtyeight.com 10/15/2008 — Perhaps the CBS poll that shows Barack Obama with a 14-point lead among likely voters (12 points when third-party candidates are included) is a modest outlier. But if so, John McCain has more and more outliers that he has to explain away these days. ...
Today's Polls, 10/27
fivethirtyeight.com 10/28/2008 — John McCain is making no progress in his pursuit of the White House. Our model now projects Barack Obama to win 351 electoral votes to John McCain's 187, and to win the Electoral College 96.7 percent of the time to McCain's 3.3 percent. Both numbers ...
Today's Polls, 10/21
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