fivethirtyeight.com - 11/1/2008
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Is Pennsylvania John McCain's last, best hope? Perhaps it is. But that speaks as much to McCain's problems elsewhere on the map as any success he has had in the Keystone State. Pennsylvania does seem to be narrowing a bit: the Muhlenberg / Morning Call tracker is now down to "only" a 10-point ...
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/31/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
As the only reporter during this election who
has actually visited upwards of 50 of John McCain's...
field offices around the country (13 battleground states and counting), this piece by Matthew Mosk at the Washington Post comes as no surprise: The ...
(more)
The Big Empty
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/2/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
This is beginning to look like a five-state
election. Those states are Virginia, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Ohio and...
Nevada. Essentially all relevant electoral scenarios involve some combination of these five states. I should caution that by far the most ...
(more)
Today's Polls, 11/1
tnr.com - 11/2/2008
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tnr.com —
One day in early March 1986, John McCain,
an Arizona congressman, sat down to write a letter....
McCain had heard that a long-time friend and donor, Charles Keating, was upset for being listed as a member of McCain's campaign finance committee when a ...
(more)
McCain First, Second, And Always
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Paranoia - I'm not alone!
Newshoggers.com —
... , in spite of all the evidence of a big Obama win I'm still very nervous and why wouldn't I be after stolen elections the last two times out. Yes it really looks like Obama can't lose - Nate Silver has McCain's possibility of winning down to 2.8 percent, a new low. But yes, I remain nervous but I'm not alone. My old friend Bill in DC sent me this from the NYT: ...
Weekend Polling Crack
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
Nate Silver: Pennsylvania seems to be the one thing that McCain has to hang his hat on. But he remains very unlikely to win it, and even if he does, Obama has any number of firewall states that could preserve a victory for him. McCain’s win percentage is down to 2.8 percent, his lowest number of the year. ...
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Wash Post Elections 11/1/2008
DES MOINES, Oct. 31 -- As the presidential campaign entered its final weekend, Barack Obama returned to Iowa, the state one adviser described as "hallowed ground" because of the role it played in launching his candidacy, while John McCain spent his ...