blogs.tnr.com - 8/21/2008
—
By any and all polling-based metrics, the race for the White House is
extremely tight. However, we present three slightly different
projections of the November outcome, and they each tell a slightly
different story: Our
popular vote projection shows a literal tie, with each of Barack Obama
and John McCain projected to earn 48.5 percent of the vote, and
third-party candidates receiving a ...
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Thursday’s campaign round-up
Political Animal —
... McCain in Pennsylvania by five, 45% to 40%.
* Rasmussen shows Obama leading McCain in New Hampshire by one, 43% to 42%.
* Rasmussen shows Obama leading McCain in Maryland by 12, 53% to 41%.
* A University of Minnesota poll shows Obama leading McCain in Minnesota by 10, 48% to 38%.
* InsiderAdvantage shows McCain leading Obama in North Carolina by two, 45% to 43%.
* Public Policy Polling shows McCain leading Obama in Missouri by 10, 50% to 40%.
* McCain is taking three days off, leaving the ...
The state of the race: Polls, projections, and presidential politics
The Reaction —
... highly unreliable. And yet it is true, as Joe points out, that, in general, poll results show a tightening race. It is not necessarily the case, however, that Obama is "weakening." Rather, McCain may actually be strengthening as Republicans (and conservatives who find him suspect) coalesce behind him heading into the conventions and the more earnest campaign to follow. Basically, for whatever reason, the race is now extremely close. As the indispensable Nate Silver finds, it's more or less a tie. ...
The State of the Race: Polls, Projections, and Presidential Politics
The Moderate Voice —
... And yet, as Joe points out, it is true that, in general, poll results show a tightening race. It is not necessarily the case, however, that Obama is “weakening.” Rather, McCain may actually be strengthening as Republicans (and conservatives who find him suspect) coalesce behind him heading into the conventions and the more earnest campaign to follow. Basically, for whatever reason, the race is now extremely close. As the indispensable Nate Silver finds, it’s more or less a tie. ...
Related Content
Obama takes swipe at McCain over houses
politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com 8/21/2008 — Sen. Obama's campaign released a new ad, 'Seven'.
(CNN) – Barack Obama’s campaign continued to hit John McCain on his failure to answer a question on the number of homes he owns with a new ad Thursday, as the presumptive ...
McCain Spokesman's Retort: Obama Lives in "a Frickin' Mansion"
voices.washingtonpost.com 8/21/2008 — By Michael D. Shear SEDONA, Ariz. -- A spokesman for Sen. John McCain vowed to retaliate against today's story about how many houses the GOP candidate owns with a renewed focus on Sen. Barack Obama's ties to a Chicago developer and charges that Obama ...
Talking Points Memo | McCain Camp Responds On Houses Gaffe: He Was A POW!
tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com 8/21/2008 — The McCain campaign is road-testing a new argument in responding to Obama's criticism of his number-of-houses gaffe, an approach the McCain camp has never tried before: The houses gaffe doesn't matter because ... he was a POW! "This is a guy who ...
McCain cuts into Obama's lead —
CNN.com - Politics 8/21/2008
Sen. John McCain has chipped away at Sen. Barack Obama's lead, with a national survey of polls showing the Democratic presumptive nominee up by just 1 percentage point in the presidential race.
Obama TV ad hits McCain on his homes —
First Read 8/21/2008
From NBC's Mark MurrayIn an immediately quick turnaround, the Obama camp is already up with a TV ad hitting McCain for his admission that he doesn't know how many homes he and wife Cindy own. (Hat tip: Ambinder and Ben Smith.)
McCain spokesman Brian ...
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