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AK-Sen: Alaska update
Daily Kos —
... later next week or even early the following one. According to the Election division, Begich is leading Stevens 59-37 in the early ballots that have already been counted. The Anchorage Daily News has a cool PDF map detailing where each candidate got their votes (or at least those already counted). Update: The gap is currently 106,351 Stevens, to 102,998 Begich. Update II: Nate Silver has more. With so few early and absentee ballots counted to date, Ted Stevens' ...
MN-Senate: Franken Closing
Taylor Marsh —
... Franken to call off the automatic recount and immediately concede. With the race a virtual tie, and with the bulk of undervotes occurring in Democratic areas, I wouldn’t want to be in Norm’s position right now.
The Franken campaign has set up a recount fund if you’d like to help Norm out of Washington and put a progressive back in Paul Wellstone’s seat.
Meanwhile, amazingly enough, with the Georgia race going to a runoff and decent odds for a Begich victory in Alaska...getting to 60 seats in the Senate remains well within ...
Ted Stevens may not have won in Alaska
Majikthise —
Nate Silver on the phantom ballots of Alaska: Stevens currently holds a lead of 3,353
votes, or about 1.5 percent of the votes tallied so far. But, there are
quite a large number of ballots yet to count. According to Roll Call,
these include “at least 40,000 absentee ballot, 9,000 early voting
ballots, and an undetermined number of questionable ballots”. Indeed,
it seems possible that the number of “questionable” ballots could be
quite high. So far, about 220,000 votes have been processed in
Alaska. This ...
The President and his Chief of Staff: Shock and Awe
The RBC —
... Commenter GREAT newsinOH over at Fivethirtyeight makes an outstanding point : In Hebrew, "Rahm" means thunder, and "Barack" means lightning. Strictly speaking, of course, "Barack" is in Swahili, and is derived originally from the Hebrew "Baruch," which means "blessed." But in terms of getting an agenda through, I'll take the lightning.
According To Arizona's Other Right WIng Nut, Jon Kyl, Obama Gets No Honeymoon
DownWithTyranny! —
... and ensure every American equal access to justice. They said it was time for justices who will keep faith with our core constitutional values of liberty, equality and opportunity for all. Americans said it was time for a change, time for judges and justices who will make decisions based on the law and the Constitution, not on a political agenda." On related note, this is why it is so important to support the recount for Al Franken, an honest count for the Alaska Senate seat and the run-off election for Jim Martin in Georgia. Good outcomes would ...
Remainders: A cross-aisle oh-fer
Ben Smith's Blog —
ProPublica's keeping score: Of the 13 members of the House and Senate listed as under investigation in the 2008 edition of the Most Corrupt Members of Congress report, nine appear headed to reelection.
But Nate Silver's not marking Alaska for Stevens just yet.
Zogby points out Vietnam veterans are now a bipartisan oh-for-the-last-three elections,
and veterans of any war oh-for-the-last-five.
"Non-voter" rivals "Yes we can" for most viral video ever and Gingrich 2012?
Nate Silver: Uncounted Votes May Push Begich Past Stevens
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth —
Nate says it ain't over in Alaska: Although Ted Stevens currently holds a lead of approximately 3,200 votes in ballots counted to date in Alaska's senate contest, there is good reason to believe that the ballots yet to be counted -- the vast majority of which are early and absentee ballots -- will allow Mark Begich to mitigate his disadvantage with Stevens and quite possibly pull ahead of him. The reasoning behind this is simple: some early ballots have been processed, and among those ballots Begich substantially leads Stevens. A tally of Alaska's 40 house ...
Slow Burn?
Talking Points Memo —
... The dynamics of both races are very different. But I'm starting to think that the Democrats may actually get to 59 seats after all. I'm not saying it's anything like certain. Maybe not even probable. But Nate Silver is saying that the pattern of uncounted early and absentee votes in Alaska could well end up pushing Mark Begich past Ted Stevens. ...
Alaska Senate Seat Still Undecided
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire —
Nate Silver thinks uncounted early votes and absentee votes could give Democrats another Senate seat in Alaska. "Although Ted Stevens currently holds a lead of approximately 3,200
votes in ballots counted to date in Alaska's senate contest, there is
good reason to believe that the ballots yet to be counted -- the vast
majority of which are early and absentee ballots -- will allow Mark
Begich to mitigate his disadvantage with Stevens and quite possibly
pull ahead of him." Meanwhile, the Anchorage Daily News notes both candidates "are
going back to their ...
In the wake of the Democratic victories, Harry Reid is reshaping the Senate
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth —
... last night, Coleman has started filing lawsuits. That's a sure sign the Republican is desperate. And, we're all waiting on Alaska, but Nate Silver's projections that Begich could pull it out were heartening. ...
More Quick Victories
Open Left - Front Page —
... . The Alaska and Minnesota Senate campaigns will be decided via counting and re-counting, and both campaigns should probably be considered toss-ups at the moment (Nate Silver breaks down the numbers for Alaska and ...
AK-Sen, MO-Pres updates
Daily Kos —
... will put Franken in the lead leading up to the state's recount. Update: Again, while I'll leave the district number crunching to others better suited for that task, I've made one quick observation -- every district being skipped in this round of counting is a Blue district. So even if Begich (and Berkowitz) come up short in this round, it won't be the end of the road. Update II: Nate already did one of his specials on the Alaska race here, though it'll need some updating.
...
Tomorrow, all eyes on Alaska (again) as up to 90,000 remaining votes will be counted
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth —
... those, at least two-thirds of the absentee votes and nearly all the early votes are expected to be counted Wednesday, said Division Director Gail Fenumiai.And, for the record, I have great respect for the Anchorage Daily News. That paper has been just a font of excellent information. (And, I love the breaking news alerts. Most are political, but over the summer, there were quite a few about grizzly bear attacks, some right in Anchorage.) Remember, last week, Nate Silver wrote: Although Ted Stevens currently holds a lead of approximately 3,200 ...
Ted Stevens, Walking the Bridge to Nowhere
Reason Magazine - Hit & Run —
... that the remaining ballots come from Democratic-leaning districts. Nate "538" Silver has more. If Begich even builds a 0.51 percent lead over Stevens (he's at a 0.29 percent lead now), he escapes a recount and takes over the seat. This would, among other things, close Sarah Palin's escape hatch out of Alaskan politics. It would also lock down 58 Democratic Senate seats (counting Joe Lieberman), with the ...
Begich expands lead in Alaska Senate count
The Reaction —
... votes, and he has expanded his lead as the counting continues. As the Anchorage Daily News is reporting (and CNN and Alaska Elections have the same numbers), Begich is now up by 814 -- "132,196 to 131,382 -- with the state still to count roughly 35,000 more ballots over the next week." In percentage terms, it's Begich 47.41, Stevens 47.12. Sean Quinn at FiveThirtyEight: "As we've pointed out and has been pointed out elsewhere, the remaining votes come from ...
Begich Expands Lead in Alaska Senate Count
The Moderate Voice —
... a lead of just three votes, and he has expanded his lead as the counting continues.
As the Anchorage Daily News is reporting (and CNN and Alaska Elections have the same numbers), Begich is now up by 814 — “132,196 to 131,382 — with the state still to count roughly 40,000 more ballots over the next week.” In percentage terms, it’s Begich 47.41, Stevens 47.12.
Sean Quinn at FiveThirtyEight: “As we’ve pointed out and has been pointed out elsewhere, the remaining votes come from ...
