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Glenn Hurowitz: Mondale's Revenge
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... But voters didn't care. Even though 70 percent of voters in the MSNBC exit poll said they thought their taxes will go up under Barack Obama, they still went for him. And in an ...

Obama Wins: How He Did It
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... Exit poll data show Obama beating McCain by an overwhelming 57-41 margin among women, and carrying men by four points, 51-47. Obama is positioned to become the first Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win break 50 percent of the popular vote, something Bill Clinton failed to do in both 1992 and 1996. ...

Obama Wins: How He Did It
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... Exit poll data show Obama beating McCain by an overwhelming 57-41 margin among women, and carrying men by four points, 51-47. Obama is positioned to become the first Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win break 50 percent of the popular vote, something Bill Clinton failed to do in both 1992 and 1996. ...

Building A Revived Democratic Coalition
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... of almost $750 million, while McCain and the RNC spent about $450 million. At the same time that Obama set records in collecting campaign contributions, his coalition is, in fact, marked by a lack of internal economic cohesion: his supporters are bifurcated, with one wing made up of heavily minority 'downscale' voters, and the other wing composed of mostly white, relatively affluent, well-educated, socially liberal 'knowledge workers' or professionals. The following chart shows the extent to which Obama prevailed among both the least-educated and the ...

Building A Revived Democratic Coalition
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... of almost $750 million, while McCain and the RNC spent about $450 million. At the same time that Obama set records in collecting campaign contributions, his coalition is, in fact, marked by a lack of internal economic cohesion: his supporters are bifurcated, with one wing made up of heavily minority 'downscale' voters, and the other wing composed of mostly white, relatively affluent, well-educated, socially liberal 'knowledge workers' or professionals. The following chart shows the extent to which Obama prevailed among both the least-educated and the ...

Obama's Resounding Victory, By The Numbers
TPM Election Central — ... that Obama has won North Carolina, based on his small lead there with 100% of precincts reporting, and allocate any other close calls that some media outlets haven't projected yet in favor of the current vote-leader, then Obama will have won 364 electoral votes to John McCain 174 electoral votes. This is just shy of Bill Clinton's 370 votes in 1992 and 379 votes in 1996, and way ahead of what we've been used to from George W. Bush's close elections. • According to the exit poll data, Obama won 43% of the white vote, a possible slight improvement on John Kerry's ...

Truths and Myths about the 2008 Election, Part III
The Monkey Cage — ... Party loyalty is as strong as ever. Despite the incessant discussion of whether Obama could appeal to white working-class Democrats, and whether McCain could rally conservative Republicans, in the end party loyalty was as high as in 2004—that is, about 90%. Obama also won the votes of 85% of white Democrats. See the exit polls here. ...

Marc R. Stanley: This Year's Jewish Vote
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... As Election Day drew closer and the Jewish community learned more about the two candidates, polling showed that Obama's support in the Jewish community increased to between 70% and 74%. Ultimately, the Jewish community supported the Democratic nominee in overwhelming numbers. According to exit polling from Tuesday's election, Obama received 78% of the Jewish vote -- about 26% greater than Obama's percentage of total support nationally. ...

The Next RNC Chair: Captain Of The GOP Titanic?
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... —The South, for four and a half decades the driving force in American politics and the engine of the new conservatism, shows signs of returning to its outlier, marginalized status. As the rest of the nation demonstrated little difficulty in voting for an African American on November 4, the Deep South and the Appalachian South turned in the other direction, with Southern whites voting against Obama (whites nationwide, 43 Obama, 55 McCain; in Mississippi 11-88; Alabama 10-88). (Adam Nossiter's ...

The Next RNC Chair: Captain Of The GOP Titanic?
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... —The South, for four and a half decades the driving force in American politics and the engine of the new conservatism, shows signs of returning to its outlier, marginalized status. As the rest of the nation demonstrated little difficulty in voting for an African American on November 4, the Deep South and the Appalachian South turned in the other direction, with Southern whites voting against Obama (whites nationwide, 43 Obama, 55 McCain; in Mississippi 11-88; Alabama 10-88). (Adam Nossiter's ...

How the Academic Left Elected Obama
American Thinker — ... Of all the reasons why America voted the way it did on November 4, one factor stands out: young people and first-time voters turned out and voted overwhelmingly for Barack Obama. MSNBC's exit polling , which is consistent with other exit polling, showed that voters aged 18-29, who made up nearly one in five voters -- or about 25 million ballots -- went for Obama by more than two to one: 66 to 32 percent. Those voters alone well exceeded Obama's overall popular vote advantage, which was roughly eight million. Likewise, 11 percent of voters were first-time voters, and they went ...

Aaron Keyak: New NBC/WSJ Poll: Palin Favorables at 73% Among Repubs
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... Palin as the Party's Vice Presidential nominee meant that the already minuscule space for moderates in the Republican Party became even smaller. Furthermore, it is clear that the Jewish community, including some Republicans, did not support Palin's addition to the ticket. I'd imagine they also don't support her as the future of the Republican Party. I wonder if Palin runs in 2012 there will be a way for Republican Jews to declare victory like they did with their 21% of the Jewish vote this year? ...

Examine the Record, not Rhetoric
James Richardson's Skepticians — ... one unified under the basic tenants of conservatism – strong national defense, limited government interference, and greater personal liberties – but if we’re to survive, let alone build that coalition, the Party must allow for a diversity of opinion. C orrect me if I’m wrong, but I’m unaware of any other method of building coalitions aside from reaching out to those with whom you have disagreements. After losing independents and moderates to the Obama campaign by a margin of 8 percent , Republicans simply can no longer afford to be tone deaf, and Steele, I dare say, ...

Examine the Record, not the Rhetoric
RedState: Conservative News and Community — ... the basic tenants of conservatism – strong national defense, limited government interference, and greater personal liberties – but if we’re to survive, let alone build that coalition, the Party must allow for a diversity of opinion. And correct me if I’m wrong, but I’m unaware of any other method of building coalitions aside from reaching out to those with whom you have disagreements. After losing independents and moderates to the Obama campaign by a margin of 8 percent, Republicans simply can no longer afford to be tone deaf, and Steele, I dare say, ...

Is There A New Progressive America?
Ross Douthat — ... Teixiera's argument about future political demography assumes a static quality to American politics that is ahistorical ... For instance, consider that while John McCain lost the nationwide popular vote by seven points, he won the white Catholic vote by five points. ...

In Which I Defend a Republican Pollster
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... Democrats have the largest partisan ID advantage -- nearly 12 points -- in the surveys that test all adults. This is followed by the registered voter surveys, where Democrats have a 9.8 point advantage without Resurgent Republic's results and 8.8 points with them, and then by the likely voter surveys, where they have a 7.3-point advantage (closely matching their 7-point edge on the 2008 national exit poll). This comports with the conventional wisdom, which holds that Democrats do proportionately better with "unlikely" or unregistered voters, who tend to be ...

Mike Huckabee's Flawed Logic on the GOP's Future
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... In November, for instance, Obama won 43 percent of voters who attended church on an at-least-weekly basis. Considering that many of the 57 percent of such voters he didn't win were probably also economic conservatives, that suggests that Obama won a majority of voters who are socially conservative but economically liberal -- particularly African-American and Latino voters, who often fit this description. ...

Will Crist Get Toomeyed?
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... (where John McCain, with Crist's endorsement, narrowly defeated Mitt Romney), and the composition of the pool of McCain voters in last year's general election: ...

Gubernatorial Power Rankings: Crist, Freudenthal Top List
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... We take this rule of thumb and apply it to a governor's expected approval rating. For every point's worth of advantage a governor's party has in his state (as according to 2008 exit polls), we add half a point to his expected approval rating. Obviously, in cases where the governor's party is at a disadvantage, this lowers his expected approval rating. ...

Angry Populism Could Save The GOP
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... in the election of 1980 and was reinforced as women - particularly single women - turned in large numbers, to the Democrats. According to poll data, between 1990 and 1994, the percentage of white men with high school degrees and no college who voted for Republican Congressional candidates shot up by a striking 20 points. Between 1968 and 2008 (except for contests with two strong, populist third-party candidates George Wallace and Ross Perot), Republicans consistently won the white vote in presidential elections -- most often winning 55 to 59 percent ...

Lieberman Flirting with Political Suicide
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... Generally speaking, this would suggest that Lieberman has more to lose among Democrats than he has to gain among Republicans by bucking his former party, which is only natural since Democrats outnumber Republicans in Connecticut by a 39-32 margin. ...

They must have a political deathwish
Daily Kos — Although men and women tend to have similar attitudes towards abortion, women aged 18-49 are consistently the strongest supporters of reproductive freedom, and most of the net Democratic advantage among women comes from unmarried women without children. In light of those facts, House Democrats who supported health care reform with the Stupak amendment intact need a reminder about some basic math about the gender gap from the past two House elections: ...

Have Democratic Leaders Gone Mad?
RealClearPolitics - Homepage — ... . And even in the "Yes We Can!" presidential election of 2008, when college kids supposedly overwhelmed the normal electoral process, the 65 and over crowd still accounted for 16% of the electorate (unchanged relative to ...