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Obama Now Up Two in Rasmussen Poll; Battleground Has McCain Up Two
JammieWearingFool —
... . Naturally, expect the WaPo-ABC poll to get all the attention. But as Ed Morrissey notes, it's a rather dubious sample. Shocking! Why on earth voters would trust Obama on economic issues is a mystery considering how ...
Is this the New ABC News/Washington Post Poll -- or a Trip to Fantasyland?
The New Editor —
... this the fact that only four Democratic Party presidential candidates have ever achieved a real majority since the Civil War (for a total of seven times: Samuel Tilden in 1876; FDR in 1932, 1936, 1940, and 1944; LBJ in 1964; and Jimmy Carter in 1976).
Looking at all of this historical data, a 16-point spread in party ID is pretty bold assumption made by the ABC News/Washington Post pollsters.
How do they justify it?
Update: Ed Morrissey has more thoughts.
Polls: Trending Obama
Ace of Spades HQ —
... (not yet included in the RCP average) has Obama up by six -- and, oddly, McCain under 40%. They show it 45- 39. The Washington Post poll showing Obama up 52-43 had an interesting party split -- 54% Democrats, 38% Republicans (with leaners). My takeaway? Obama's underperforming even given this enormously favorable sample. Whatever the actual numbers are, there's a genuine though possibly quite modest and evanscent trend towards Obama, and he's probably up by 3-4 points at the moment. Partly this is due to the official end of Palinmania, at least among swinging voters, ...
