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Dartmouth Study: Minnesota Undervotes Should Favor Franken
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... the relative proportions of intentional versus unintentional residual votes. At present, though, the data available suggest that the recount will uncover many of the former and that, of the latter, a majority will likely prove to be supportive of Franken.The Darmouth guys don't offer a specific prediction about whether the number of recounted votes is likely to tip the balance of the race toward Franken, but their entire study (PDF) is worth a read. (h/t Andrew Gelman)

Professors See Recount Favoring Franken
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire — Andrew Gelman points to a Dartmouth College study of Minnesota's U.S. Senate race that concludes the pending recount will likely prove to be supportive of Al Franken's (D) bid to unseat Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN). Coleman now has a 204 vote lead over Franken. Meanwhile, the Minneapolis Star Tribune notes a big issue in the recount is whether rejected absentee ballots should be re-evaluated.

Study: Undervotes should favor Franken in MN Sen recount
Majikthise — ... A new study by researchers at Dartmouth bodes well for Al Franken in the Minnesota Senate recount. In a nutshell, the researchers found that Democratic districts are more likely to experience significant undervotes. ...