cnn.com - 10/24/2008
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Polls show that Sen. Barack Obama has a sizable lead over Sen. John McCain.
online.wsj.com - 10/20/2008
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online.wsj.com —
If John McCain manages to overtake Barack Obama,
the media will have a ready answer for the...
result: racism. Over the past generation, every time a black liberal candidate runs for public office, pundits are quick to assert that the so-called Bradley ...
(more)
Tom Bradley Didn't Lose Because of Race
nytimes.com - 10/20/2008
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nytimes.com —
WITH only two weeks to go before the
election, talk has turned to the Bradley effect. The...
phenomenon is named for Tom Bradley, the African-American mayor of Los Angeles, who lost the 1982 California governor’s race even though exit polls predicted ...
(more)
Op-Ed Contributor - What Bradley Effect?
washingtonpost.com - 10/22/2008
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washingtonpost.com —
At this juncture, I wouldn't want to bet
even a subprime mortgage on this presidential election. As...
perhaps never before, multiple hidden factors could alter the outcome.
(more)
The Reverse-Bradley Effect
Comments
Blog Reactions
“Undecided” as Code
The Moderate Voice —
... the Bradley Effect by pointing to the primary vote that gave her husband the nomination, but that overlooks the late surge by Hillary Clinton among white voters in swing states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, where Rep. John Murtha, in his usual blunt way, recently ...
Forget the Bradley effect, what about the Byner effect?
Pundit Review —
... Much talk in recent weeks about the so-called Bradley effect . The Bradley effect is named after former Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American who ran for California governor in 1982. Exit polls showed Bradley leading by a wide margin, and the Democrat thought it would be an early election night. But Bradley and the polls were wrong. He lost to Republican George Deukmejian. The theory was that polling was wrong because some voters, who did not want to appear bigoted, said they voted for Bradley even though they did not. Maybe I’m grasping at straws, but I feel ...
Related Content
The Bradley Non-Effect
corner.nationalreview.com 10/20/2008 — Two op-eds appear today -- one in the New York Times and one in the Wall Street Journal -- each debunking the original Bradley Effect. That is, each of them (the Times version is by a former Bradley aide, and the Journal version by a former aide to ...
The Bradley Effect is Dead
thetalentshow.org 11/2/2008 — I was about to write a post about why I don’t think the Bradley Effect is worth worrying about, but then I found this Newsweek article by Nate Silver that makes the exact same points :
There is little doubt Obama is losing some votes due to ...
Is "the Bradley effect" a "Democrat" effect?
tigerhawk.blogspot.com 10/20/2008 — Ann Coulter looks at the pre-election polls in every presidential election since 1980. In each case, including all those campaigns in which neither candidate was an African-American -- the Republicans performed better on election day than the polls ...
Bradley Effect: R.I.P.
reflectivepundit.com 11/5/2008 — OK, so I stayed up entering all the data by hand just to answer one question: what was the final word on the Bradley Effect I've had to discuss about a million times in the past few weeks. The answer is: nada. I took the last polling projections from ...
If The Bradley Effect is Gone, What Happened To It?
fivethirtyeight.com 10/20/2008 — It was Tom Bradley's 1982 race for governor of California, in which he lost to George Deukmejian in spite of leading in the public polls, that gave the Bradley Effect its name. But now Lance Tarrance, the pollster for Bradley in that race, has an ...
The Bradley Effect, Revisited
fivethirtyeight.com 10/22/2008 — I doubt that I get as many e-mails on any single subject as I do on the Bradley Effect . In a feature for Newsweek , I take one last more look at the phenomenon: There is little doubt Obama is losing some votes due to his race; a recent Associated ...
Will the Bradley Effect Be Obama's Downfall?
abcnews.go.com 10/15/2008 — With the economic crisis center stage, Barack Obama has solidified his lead, pulling ahead of John McCain by 10 points among likely voters, 53-43 percent, in a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll. But the question remains: Is that margin enough? ...
The Bradley Effect Reconsidered
time-blog.com 10/20/2008 — For 26 years, when political analysts consider the effect of race in an election, they have warned about the "Bradley Effect." As the story goes, race--and specifically, voters' unwillingness to admit their own racist views--was the major reason that ...
As an Issue, Taxes Favor Obama —
Wash Post Elections 10/24/2008
SARASOTA, Fla., Oct. 23 -- In the final weeks of the presidential campaign, John McCain has turned to an argument that has served Republicans well in recent history, using stump speeches and television ads to drive home the idea that the Democratic ...
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