cnn.com - 10/19/2008
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Polls show that Sen. Barack Obama has a sizable lead over Sen. John McCain.
nytimes.com - 10/20/2008
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nytimes.com —
WITH only two weeks to go before the
election, talk has turned to the Bradley effect. The...
phenomenon is named for Tom Bradley, the African-American mayor of Los Angeles, who lost the 1982 California governor’s race even though exit polls predicted ...
(more)
Op-Ed Contributor - What Bradley Effect?
washingtonpost.com - 10/22/2008
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washingtonpost.com —
At this juncture, I wouldn't want to bet
even a subprime mortgage on this presidential election. As...
perhaps never before, multiple hidden factors could alter the outcome.
(more)
The Reverse-Bradley Effect
blog.newsweek.com - 10/17/2008
Comments
Blog Reactions
An Assault On Democracy
Newshoggers.com —
... and send it into the political wilderness for years, the poor losers of the GOP are more than ready to prevent that end by any means. Few, if any, of the tactics it is using are illegal - often the result of careful legislation designed to preserve the Republican majority forever - but added together they comprise an assault on democracy which would stun even the cynical and sly politicians of Old Europe.
The GOP and the McCain campaign have been trying to drum up a Bradley Effect, with campaign and party apparatchiks trotting out racist whistles ...
Polling Trends: 2000 v. 2004 v. 2008
PoliBlog: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts —
... to being a predictor (not that that is actually what they are for–they measure opinion at they time they are taken and do not purport to see into the future) is low. However, if they are off, the likelihood is that the deviations from the final polling will actually take the form of a larger Obama victory than the trends indicate because the traditional likely voter models were wrong about who they thought those voters would be. There is, of course, the potential for the Bradley Effect (i.e., white voters telling pollsters that they will vote for a black candidate, but ...
A secret masquerade
Classical Values —
... Effect costume, I would have been impressed.--emailer DM It was at the cleaners.] That really is hilarious. And it made me think that while I might not have been consciously aware of the political implications, perhaps my Hannibal Lecter costume was a subconscious act of passive-aggressive protest. Not so much against The Bradley Effect itself, but the underlying rudeness involved. I do see a problem with the discussion of the Bradley Effect, which is almost always described or analyzed as some form of dissembled racism. Some analysts say the race could be much closer or ...
Related Content
The Bradley Non-Effect
corner.nationalreview.com 10/20/2008 — Two op-eds appear today -- one in the New York Times and one in the Wall Street Journal -- each debunking the original Bradley Effect. That is, each of them (the Times version is by a former Bradley aide, and the Journal version by a former aide to ...
The Bradley Effect is Dead
thetalentshow.org 11/2/2008 — I was about to write a post about why I don’t think the Bradley Effect is worth worrying about, but then I found this Newsweek article by Nate Silver that makes the exact same points :
There is little doubt Obama is losing some votes due to ...
Is "the Bradley effect" a "Democrat" effect?
tigerhawk.blogspot.com 10/20/2008 — Ann Coulter looks at the pre-election polls in every presidential election since 1980. In each case, including all those campaigns in which neither candidate was an African-American -- the Republicans performed better on election day than the polls ...
Bradley Effect: R.I.P.
reflectivepundit.com 11/5/2008 — OK, so I stayed up entering all the data by hand just to answer one question: what was the final word on the Bradley Effect I've had to discuss about a million times in the past few weeks. The answer is: nada. I took the last polling projections from ...
If The Bradley Effect is Gone, What Happened To It?
fivethirtyeight.com 10/20/2008 — It was Tom Bradley's 1982 race for governor of California, in which he lost to George Deukmejian in spite of leading in the public polls, that gave the Bradley Effect its name. But now Lance Tarrance, the pollster for Bradley in that race, has an ...
The Bradley Effect, Revisited
fivethirtyeight.com 10/22/2008 — I doubt that I get as many e-mails on any single subject as I do on the Bradley Effect . In a feature for Newsweek , I take one last more look at the phenomenon: There is little doubt Obama is losing some votes due to his race; a recent Associated ...
Obama escapes Bradley effect
theglobeandmail.com 11/5/2008 — After a campaign in which the colour of Barack Obama's skin was a relentless undercurrent, the Democratic contender laid to rest the fear that a historic night would be tainted by racial prejudice. Mr. Obama got 43 per cent of the white vote, ...
Will the Bradley Effect Be Obama's Downfall?
abcnews.go.com 10/15/2008 — With the economic crisis center stage, Barack Obama has solidified his lead, pulling ahead of John McCain by 10 points among likely voters, 53-43 percent, in a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll. But the question remains: Is that margin enough? ...
Banking on Bradley?
talkingpointsmemo.com 11/3/2008 — On CNN this morning, Arlen Specter pretty clearly suggested that the Bradley Effect might be the key to victory for McCain in Pennsylvania. Wolf Blitzer then pressed him on the point and he drew back. Take a look ...
Obama 'beyond honored' for Powell's support —
First Read 10/19/2008
From NBC/NJ's Athena Jones FAYETTEVILLE, NC – Hours after winning the endorsement of Colin Powell , Barack Obama thanked the general for his support at a North Carolina rally, calling Powell a trailblazer who embodied America's highest ideals ...
McCain said he's not surprised by Powell —
CNN Political Ticker 10/19/2008
Powell endorsed Obama Sunday.
(CNN) — John McCain said on “FOX News Sunday” that he was not surprised by General Colin Powell’s endorsement of Barack Obama.
“Well, I've always admired and respected General Powell. We're longtime friends. This ...