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Jonathan Garthwaite: Morning Line
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog — Zogby : Obama 49.9%-45.1% (4.8% spread between the candidates and 4.9% undecided) If you throw in the margin-of-error of 2.9%, the race according to Zogby essentially hasn't changed in three weeks -- Obama consistently polls between 47% and 52%, McCain between 40% and 45%. At least 5% to 9% undecided in every poll. Of particular note in the Zogby poll is that 19% of self-described conservatives chose Obama in the poll. Too many variables for a prediction to be anything more than a guess...

TPM Track Composite: McCain Picks Up Undecideds, But Obama Still Way Ahead
TPM Election Central — Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. John McCain has picked up some of the undecided vote, but Barack Obama's support is steady and he remains well ahead nationally: • Gallup: Obama 53%, McCain 43%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-43% Obama lead from yesterday. • Rasmussen: Obama 51%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-44% Obama lead from yesterday. • ABC/Washington Post: Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday. • Hotline/Diageo: Obama ...

HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 28
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... rates. The definition of a response rate is taken from Arianna's 1998 column "Investigating The Pollsters." The key to polling's accuracy is the principle of "equal probability of selection." But if larger and larger numbers among those randomly selected refuse to participate, this principle no longer applies. We asked polling companies to please give us the response and refusal rates for their polls listed below. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby Poll, Conducted October 24-October 26 Results: McCain ...

HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 29
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... rates. The definition of a response rate is taken from Arianna's 1998 column "Investigating The Pollsters." The key to polling's accuracy is the principle of "equal probability of selection." But if larger and larger numbers among those randomly selected refuse to participate, this principle no longer applies. We asked polling companies to please give us the response and refusal rates for their polls listed below. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby Poll, Conducted October 24-October 26 Results: McCain ...